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  • Opinions - Not Facts

    This blog consists of contributions from FXCM staff, executives and people that have a relationship with FXCM. In spirit of a blog, the posts are conversational and opinionated. However, they are not official FXCM policy and not double-checked for facts. The authors are providing information that they believe to be true or opinions they hold. To verify information or check official FXCM policy, please contact FXCM through the firm's official website, www.fxcm.com.
  • Author Archive « Previous Entries

    Top Currency Trading Ideas for Week of 2.04.08

    Monday, February 4th, 2008

    Strategy this week: Expect a corrective US Dollar rally to give way to the next bear leg.
    -Focus on positioning for EURUSD long, USDCAD short, AUDUSD long
    Read rest of article 
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    January Non-Farm Payrolls Preview

    Thursday, January 31st, 2008

    It’s time for non-farm payrolls.  The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 50bp on Wednesday and indicated that they will be cutting rates further in the months to come.  How much and how quickly they reduce interest rates again will be dependent upon the level of job growth in the month of January.  With the […]

    Possible Top in British Pound

    Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

    From our Technical Analyst Jamie Saettele:
    Don’t expect the quiet conditions of the last few days to last much longer as an interest rate announcement from the FOMC takes place later today.  Emotional impulses generated from the herding mentality that exists in free markets is what creates recognizable price patterns.  Price action; before, during, and after […]

    US Dollar: Quickly Becoming a Low Yielder

    Tuesday, January 22nd, 2008

    The surprise 75bp interest rate cut delivered by the Federal Reserve this morning brought US interest rates down to 3.50 percent, making the US dollar the third lowest yielding currency in the developed world. More specifically, US rates are now 50bp less than Eurozone and Canadian Rates, 200bp less than UK rates, 325bp less than […]

    British Pound: Ready for a Sharp Rally?

    Wednesday, January 16th, 2008

    According to our Technical Analyst Jamie Saettele, the GBPUSD has fallen over 1,500 pips in the last few months.  No market moves in a straight line, so is it time for a sizeable Cable rally?  We think that sentiment indicators along with the patterns on the chart indicate yes…and we know exactly when we would […]

    Is the US Headed for Recession, If So Where Should I Park My Dollars?

    Tuesday, January 15th, 2008

    Retail sales and producer prices both contracted in the month of December, leading many traders to wonder whether the US economy will fall into recession.  Spending on cars, electronics, furniture, gas station receipts, building materials, clothing and sporting goods all declined, reflecting a broad based slowdown in consumer demand. According to Bloomberg News, this is […]

    USDCAD: Headed for More Losses

    Friday, January 4th, 2008

    Courtesy of Jamie Saettele:
    The USDCAD remains trapped below a confluence of trendlines on the daily chart.  The lines were tested once in early December and price is pressing against the trendline drawn off of the March and August highs once again right now.  A breakout would lead to a test of the August high at […]

    Forex Market 2008 Outlook

    Monday, December 31st, 2007

    Start the New Year Informed.  2008 could be a major turning point in the global economy.  The US will be voting in a new President, Canada is welcoming a new Central Governor, traders will be assessing whether the US economy falls into a recession and the Federal Reserve could put an end to their easing […]

    Top 10 Trading Lessons from 2007

    Monday, December 24th, 2007

    Happy Holidays! At DailyFX, we always say that we are Traders First and Analysts Second. Each and every one of the Analysts on the DailyFX Team actively trade in the markets and we wanted to take this opportunity to share with you, real trading lessons that we have learned this past year.
    Lesson # […]

    How Will the US Dollar Behave in the Month of January

    Thursday, December 20th, 2007

    Last year, we published an article about how the U.S. dollar has a tendency to rise during the month of January. Since the seasonality effect held in 2007 (last January the U.S. dollar appreciated 1.27 percent against the euro) we thought that it is important to remind our readers about this price pattern going into […]

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