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    This blog consists of contributions from FX EDU staff, executives and people that have a relationship with FX EDU. In spirit of a blog, the posts are conversational and opinionated. However, they are not official FX EDU policy and not double-checked for facts. The authors are providing information that they believe to be true or opinions they hold. To verify information or check official FX EDU policy, please contact FX EDU through the firm's official website, www.fxedu.com.
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    As you get ready for tomorrrow’s Non-Farm Payroll report, keep this in mind!

    By Sean Hyman | March 5, 2009

    If there’s one unfortunate trend that has persisted and been way too consistent, it’s the rise in Unemployment (Jobless) Claims in the U.S. going back to 2007.

    See the chart below. Click on it to enlarge it.

    weekly-unemployment-claims.JPG

    In a “normal market”, the increase in unemployment would kill the dollar. However, right now as unemployment claims rise around the world, money has run to the “safe haven” effect of the U.S. dollar.

    That has produced the weird theme of “unemployment higher, dollar higher”.

    If you’ve never seen how the EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc. trade during NFPs, you owe it to yourself to open up a demo account and watch it and even trade it. Get your demo before the event here.

    Remember that the NFP report comes out at 8:30 am EST on Friday. It will state the number of jobs gained or lost (in actual numbers, not percentages) and also what the unemployment rate is (percentage wise).

    The latest assessment from economists have them expecting a loss of roughly 650,000 jobs and for the unemployment rate to further increase to 7.9% from its present 7.6% rate right now.

     

    Sean Hyman 


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